Campaigners at the Our Ocean Conference in Mombasa issued a stark warning: as governments accelerate ocean-based development for jobs, growth, and climate solutions, coastal communities must not be left behind. The call comes as the so-called blue economy—encompassing fisheries, renewable energy, shipping, and seabed mining—rapidly gains momentum worldwide.

The emissions impact of this ocean boom remains complex. While offshore wind and marine carbon capture offer significant decarbonization potential, unregulated expansion of shipping and seabed extraction could generate new greenhouse gas sources. Activists argue that without binding community-benefit agreements, the climate gains may be undermined by social inequity and environmental degradation along vulnerable coastlines.

Investment in the blue economy is surging, with billions flowing into sustainable fisheries, ocean energy, and coastal infrastructure. However, conference participants highlighted that the economic returns are often captured by multinational corporations rather than local fishers, tourism operators, and indigenous groups who depend on healthy oceans for their livelihoods.

The geopolitical dimension is sharp: developing nations like Kenya, hosting the conference, are under pressure to balance growth with the Paris Agreement's equity principles. Wealthy nations and international finance institutions are promoting blue bonds and debt-for-nature swaps, but activists caution these instruments must include enforceable local benefit-sharing mechanisms.

A key counterargument comes from industry groups who contend that large-scale ocean development creates economies of scale necessary to drive down costs for renewable energy and sustainable aquaculture, ultimately benefiting all. They warn that overly restrictive community mandates could slow investment in urgently needed climate solutions.